Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 10:45 •
Estadio Municipal de El Soto
Expected Goals
1.41 (league 1.48)
1.01 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 45.9% | 26.8% | 26.9% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.7%
1 - 0
12.5%
0 - 1
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Pozuelo Alarcón | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Móstoles | 0 | 8.9% | 9.0% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.5% | 12.7% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.8% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Móstoles | Pozuelo Alarcón |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 53% |
| Attack | 54% | 38% |
| Defense | 62% | 69% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
72%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Móstoles | Pozuelo Alarcón | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| Wins | 86% | 43% | 64% | 43% | 29% | 36% |
| Draws | 0% | 29% | 14% | 29% | 57% | 43% |
| Loses | 14% | 29% | 21% | 29% | 14% | 21% |
Form: Móstoles: DLWWDWWWWLWWWL • Pozuelo Alarcón: LDDWWLDWDLDDWW
League goals
| Metric | Móstoles | Pozuelo Alarcón | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 10 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 8 | 9 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 14 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Móstoles | Pozuelo Alarcón | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 79% | 79% | 71% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 36% | 29% | 21% |
| 2.5 | 36% | 7% | 7% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Móstoles | Pozuelo Alarcón | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Móstoles | Pozuelo Alarcón |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Móstoles | Pozuelo Alarcón |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 2-4 | 2-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 2-0 | 1-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Móstoles | Pozuelo Alarcón |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 56% | 44% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 77% | 23% |
| Total | 62.2% | 37.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Móstoles or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Móstoles = 1.41 (league 1.48), Pozuelo Alarcón = 1.01 (league 1.20)
| Pozuelo Alarcón | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Móstoles | 0 | 8.9% | 9.0% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.5% | 12.7% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.8% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.9% · Draw 26.8% · Away win 26.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1