Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 15:30 • Estadio Galapagar
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.41 (league 1.48) 1.22 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.1% 26.1% 32.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.4%
1 - 0
10.2%
0 - 1
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
Unión Adarve
0 1 2 3 4 5
Galapagar 0 7.2% 8.8% 5.4% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
1 10.2% 12.4% 7.6% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.2% 8.7% 5.3% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.4% 4.1% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.2% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGalapagarUnión Adarve
Played55
Form13%33%
Attack22%56%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.410 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Galapagar Unión Adarve
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins43%0%21%43%14%29%
Draws43%43%43%43%43%43%
Loses14%57%36%14%43%29%

Form: Galapagar: WDWDDLDLWDLLDL • Unión Adarve: WWDLDDWDLLDLWD

League goals

Metric Galapagar Unión Adarve
HATHAT
GF total1121312517
GF avg1.60.30.91.70.71.2
GA total1572210919
GA avg2.11.01.61.41.31.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGalapagarUnión Adarve
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%79%64%64%
1.536%36%36%43%
2.50%7%21%14%
3.50%7%0%7%
4.50%7%0%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGalapagarUnión Adarve
HATHAT
Clean sheets123235
Failed to score156145

Penalties

MetricGalapagarUnión Adarve
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 75.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 25.00%
Total14

Streaks

MetricGalapagarUnión Adarve
Wins12
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-12-00-3
Biggest losses1-82-00-25-0
Goals For2133
Goals Against8235

Model comparison

MetricGalapagarUnión Adarve
Form29%71%
Att29%71%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total38.5%61.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Unión Adarve

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.03 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away2.45 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.16 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.67 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Superbet
No1.85 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Galapagar = 1.41 (league 1.48), Unión Adarve = 1.22 (league 1.21)

Unión Adarve
0 1 2 3 4 5
Galapagar 0 7.2% 8.8% 5.4% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
1 10.2% 12.4% 7.6% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.2% 8.7% 5.3% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.4% 4.1% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.2% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.1% · Draw 26.1% · Away win 32.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1