Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 10:30 •
Estadio La Mina de Carabanchel
Expected Goals
0.61 (league 1.48)
1.73 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 12.6% | 22.8% | 63.7% |
best score tips
0 - 1
16.7%
0 - 2
14.4%
1 - 1
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Leganés II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Carabanchel | 0 | 9.7% | 16.7% | 14.4% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 5.9% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Carabanchel | Leganés II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 47% |
| Attack | 38% | 69% |
| Defense | 31% | 69% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Carabanchel | Leganés II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| Wins | 29% | 29% | 29% | 57% | 43% | 50% |
| Draws | 29% | 14% | 21% | 43% | 29% | 36% |
| Loses | 43% | 57% | 50% | 0% | 29% | 14% |
Form: Carabanchel: LWDLWDLWDWLLLL • Leganés II: DDWWDWWDWWLDLW
League goals
| Metric | Carabanchel | Leganés II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 31 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 2.2 |
| GA total | 6 | 12 | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Carabanchel | Leganés II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 64% | 71% | 86% | 43% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 29% | 64% | 21% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 29% | 29% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 14% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 14% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Carabanchel | Leganés II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Carabanchel | Leganés II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Carabanchel | Leganés II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-2 | 5-0 | 0-7 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 3-1 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Carabanchel | Leganés II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 30% | 70% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 31% | 69% |
| Poisson Distribution | 26% | 74% |
| H2h | 36% | 64% |
| Goals | 43% | 57% |
| Total | 33.7% | 66.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Leganés II
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Carabanchel = 0.61 (league 1.48), Leganés II = 1.73 (league 1.20)
| Leganés II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Carabanchel | 0 | 9.7% | 16.7% | 14.4% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 5.9% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.6% · Draw 22.8% · Away win 63.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1