Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 11:00 •
Estadio Valle de las Cañas
Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.45)
0.81 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 44.2% | 30.3% | 25.4% |
best score tips
1 - 0
16.1%
0 - 0
13.7%
1 - 1
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Carabanchel | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pozuelo Alarcón | 0 | 13.7% | 11.1% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.1% | 13.1% | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.5% | 7.7% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Pozuelo Alarcón | Carabanchel |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 0% |
| Attack | 40% | 27% |
| Defense | 73% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Pozuelo Alarcón | Carabanchel | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 8 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| Wins | 43% | 25% | 33% | 25% | 29% | 27% |
| Draws | 29% | 63% | 47% | 25% | 14% | 20% |
| Loses | 29% | 13% | 20% | 50% | 57% | 53% |
Form: Pozuelo Alarcón: LDDWWLDWDLDDWWD • Carabanchel: LWDLWDLWDWLLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Pozuelo Alarcón | Carabanchel | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 9 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 6 | 9 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 20 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Pozuelo Alarcón | Carabanchel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 73% | 67% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 27% | 20% | 27% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 7% | 13% | 27% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Pozuelo Alarcón | Carabanchel | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Pozuelo Alarcón | Carabanchel |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Pozuelo Alarcón | Carabanchel |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-3 | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-0 | 2-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Pozuelo Alarcón | Carabanchel |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 71% | 29% |
| Poisson Distribution | 59% | 41% |
| H2h | 25% | 75% |
| Goals | 36% | 64% |
| Total | 50.2% | 49.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Pozuelo Alarcón or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Pozuelo Alarcón = 1.17 (league 1.45), Carabanchel = 0.81 (league 1.22)
| Carabanchel | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pozuelo Alarcón | 0 | 13.7% | 11.1% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.1% | 13.1% | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.5% | 7.7% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.2% · Draw 30.3% · Away win 25.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1