Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 10:30 •
Estadio Boetticher
Expected Goals
1.04 (league 1.48)
0.75 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 41.6% | 32.6% | 25.8% |
best score tips
1 - 0
17.4%
0 - 0
16.8%
1 - 1
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Racing Madrid | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Villaverde-Boetticher | 0 | 16.8% | 12.5% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.4% | 13.0% | 4.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.0% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Villaverde-Boetticher | Racing Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 13% |
| Attack | 33% | 27% |
| Defense | 47% | 20% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Villaverde-Boetticher | Racing Madrid | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 8 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| Wins | 29% | 50% | 40% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 43% | 25% | 33% | 38% | 43% | 40% |
| Loses | 29% | 25% | 27% | 63% | 57% | 60% |
Form: Villaverde-Boetticher: DLWWWWDDLWLLDDW • Racing Madrid: LDDLLLLDDLLDLDL
League goals
| Metric | Villaverde-Boetticher | Racing Madrid | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 9 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| GF avg | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 7 | 9 | 16 | 17 | 12 | 29 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Villaverde-Boetticher | Racing Madrid | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 40% | 60% | 87% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 27% | 20% | 47% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 27% | 0% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 7% | 0% | 13% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 7% | 0% | 7% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Villaverde-Boetticher | Racing Madrid | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Villaverde-Boetticher | Racing Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Villaverde-Boetticher | Racing Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 0 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-3 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 5-1 | 2-6 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Villaverde-Boetticher | Racing Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 71% | 29% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 58% | 42% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 61.3% | 38.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Villaverde-Boetticher or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Villaverde-Boetticher = 1.04 (league 1.48), Racing Madrid = 0.75 (league 1.21)
| Racing Madrid | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Villaverde-Boetticher | 0 | 16.8% | 12.5% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.4% | 13.0% | 4.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.0% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.6% · Draw 32.6% · Away win 25.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1