Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 15:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.23 (league 1.48)
2.46 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 17.3% | 18.1% | 60.5% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.3%
1 - 3
7.6%
0 - 2
7.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Móstoles | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Villanueva Pardillo | 0 | 2.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| 1 | 3.1% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 2.3% | |
| 2 | 1.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Villanueva Pardillo | Móstoles |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 67% |
| Attack | 50% | 67% |
| Defense | 50% | 58% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Villanueva Pardillo | Móstoles | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 8 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| Wins | 43% | 25% | 33% | 75% | 43% | 60% |
| Draws | 14% | 0% | 7% | 13% | 29% | 20% |
| Loses | 43% | 75% | 60% | 13% | 29% | 20% |
Form: Villanueva Pardillo: WWWLLLLLLLWWLDL • Móstoles: DLWWDWWWWLWWWLD
League goals
| Metric | Villanueva Pardillo | Móstoles | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 10 | 24 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 15 | 11 | 26 | 9 | 9 | 18 |
| GA avg | 2.1 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Villanueva Pardillo | Móstoles | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 87% | 80% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 47% | 40% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 13% | 33% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 7% | 7% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 7% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Villanueva Pardillo | Móstoles | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Villanueva Pardillo | Móstoles |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Villanueva Pardillo | Móstoles |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 7 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-3 | 3-1 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-7 | 2-0 | 0-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Villanueva Pardillo | Móstoles |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 41% | 59% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 33% | 67% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 40.5% | 59.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Móstoles
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Villanueva Pardillo = 1.23 (league 1.48), Móstoles = 2.46 (league 1.20)
| Móstoles | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Villanueva Pardillo | 0 | 2.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| 1 | 3.1% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 2.3% | |
| 2 | 1.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.3% · Draw 18.1% · Away win 60.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1