Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 15:30 • Estadio Galapagar
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.93 (league 1.48) 0.79 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.9% 21.1% 14.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.7%
2 - 0
12.3%
1 - 1
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
AD Parla
0 1 2 3 4 5
Galapagar 0 6.6% 5.2% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.7% 10.0% 4.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.3% 9.7% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.9% 6.2% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.8% 3.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.5% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGalapagarAD Parla
Played55
Form27%20%
Attack20%47%
Defense20%7%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.414 | 2.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Galapagar AD Parla
HATHAT
Played87157815
Wins50%0%27%43%13%27%
Draws38%43%40%14%25%20%
Loses13%57%33%43%63%53%

Form: Galapagar: WDWDDLDLWDLLDLW • AD Parla: LDDWWLLLDWLWLLL

League goals

Metric Galapagar AD Parla
HATHAT
GF total122149413
GF avg1.50.30.91.30.50.9
GA total15722101525
GA avg1.91.01.51.41.91.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGalapagarAD Parla
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%73%67%73%
1.533%33%13%53%
2.50%7%7%33%
3.50%7%0%7%
4.50%7%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGalapagarAD Parla
HATHAT
Clean sheets224134
Failed to score156145

Penalties

MetricGalapagarAD Parla
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 50.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 50.00%
Total12

Streaks

MetricGalapagarAD Parla
Wins12
Draws22
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—3-10-1
Biggest losses1-82-01-34-1
Goals For2131
Goals Against8234

Model comparison

MetricGalapagarAD Parla
Form57%43%
Att30%70%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h93%7%
Goals81%19%
Total64.3%35.7%

Advice: Double chance : Galapagar or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Galapagar = 1.93 (league 1.48), AD Parla = 0.79 (league 1.21)

AD Parla
0 1 2 3 4 5
Galapagar 0 6.6% 5.2% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.7% 10.0% 4.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.3% 9.7% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.9% 6.2% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.8% 3.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.5% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.9% · Draw 21.1% · Away win 14.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1