Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 10:45 •
Estadio Municipal de El Soto
Expected Goals
2.20 (league 1.48)
3.10 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 24.4% | 16.5% | 47.4% |
best score tips
2 - 3
6.0%
2 - 2
5.8%
1 - 3
5.5%
Score & goals probability table
| A Madrid III | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Móstoles | 0 | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 1.1% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | |
| 2 | 1.2% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Móstoles | A Madrid III |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 67% |
| Attack | 58% | 100% |
| Defense | 58% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 19 | 3.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
76%
FT probability
3.5+
54%
FT probability
BTTS
84%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Móstoles | A Madrid III | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 8 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| Wins | 75% | 50% | 63% | 63% | 63% | 63% |
| Draws | 13% | 25% | 19% | 25% | 13% | 19% |
| Loses | 13% | 25% | 19% | 13% | 25% | 19% |
Form: Móstoles: DLWWDWWWWLWWWLDW • A Madrid III: WWWWLLWDDWWWLDWW
League goals
| Metric | Móstoles | A Madrid III | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 12 | 26 | 19 | 27 | 46 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 2.4 | 3.4 | 2.9 |
| GA total | 9 | 10 | 19 | 8 | 14 | 22 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Móstoles | A Madrid III | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 81% | 81% | 88% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 31% | 75% | 31% |
| 2.5 | 31% | 6% | 50% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 0% | 25% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 25% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Móstoles | A Madrid III | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Móstoles | A Madrid III |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Móstoles | A Madrid III |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 2-4 | 5-1 | 1-8 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 2-0 | 0-1 | 4-3 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 5 | 8 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Móstoles | A Madrid III |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 27% | 73% |
| Def | 62% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 40% | 60% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 44.8% | 55.3% |
Advice: Combo Winner : A Madrid III and +1.5 goals
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Móstoles = 2.20 (league 1.48), A Madrid III = 3.10 (league 1.21)
| A Madrid III | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Móstoles | 0 | 0.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| 1 | 1.1% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | |
| 2 | 1.2% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.4% · Draw 16.5% · Away win 47.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1