Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 10:30 • Estadio La Mina de Carabanchel
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.94 (league 1.48) 0.75 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.3% 33.9% 27.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
18.3%
1 - 0
17.3%
0 - 1
13.8%
Score & goals probability table
Villanueva Pardillo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Carabanchel 0 18.3% 13.8% 5.2% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.3% 13.0% 4.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.2% 6.1% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.6% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCarabanchelVillanueva Pardillo
Played55
Form7%27%
Attack20%27%
Defense47%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Carabanchel Villanueva Pardillo
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins25%25%25%38%25%31%
Draws25%25%25%13%0%6%
Loses50%50%50%50%75%63%

Form: Carabanchel: LWDLWDLWDWLLLLLD • Villanueva Pardillo: WWWLLLLLLLWWLDLL

League goals

Metric Carabanchel Villanueva Pardillo
HATHAT
GF total891711718
GF avg1.01.11.11.40.91.1
GA total81321171128
GA avg1.01.61.32.11.41.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCarabanchelVillanueva Pardillo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%75%75%88%
1.525%31%31%50%
2.513%25%6%13%
3.50%0%0%6%
4.50%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCarabanchelVillanueva Pardillo
HATHAT
Clean sheets314112
Failed to score325134

Penalties

MetricCarabanchelVillanueva Pardillo
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricCarabanchelVillanueva Pardillo
Wins13
Draws11
Losses57

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-22-01-3
Biggest losses2-33-10-72-0
Goals For3323
Goals Against3372

Model comparison

MetricCarabanchelVillanueva Pardillo
Form20%80%
Att43%57%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total41.5%58.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Villanueva Pardillo

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (Ī»): Carabanchel = 0.94 (league 1.48), Villanueva Pardillo = 0.75 (league 1.20)

Villanueva Pardillo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Carabanchel 0 18.3% 13.8% 5.2% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.3% 13.0% 4.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.2% 6.1% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.6% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.3% Ā· Draw 33.9% Ā· Away win 27.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1