Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 11:00 • Estadio Navalcarbón
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.63 (league 1.48) 0.32 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
69.7% 22.8% 6.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
23.1%
2 - 0
18.8%
0 - 0
14.2%
Score & goals probability table
Galapagar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Las Rozas 0 14.2% 4.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.1% 7.5% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.8% 6.1% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.2% 3.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.2% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLas RozasGalapagar
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack27%36%
Defense45%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Las Rozas Galapagar
HATHAT
Played88169716
Wins75%50%63%56%0%31%
Draws0%38%19%33%43%38%
Loses25%13%19%11%57%31%

Form: Las Rozas: WWLWWDWWWWWDWDLL • Galapagar: WDWDDLDLWDLLDLWW

League goals

Metric Las Rozas Galapagar
HATHAT
GF total19113014216
GF avg2.41.41.91.60.31.0
GA total1081816723
GA avg1.31.01.11.81.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLas RozasGalapagar
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%75%63%75%
1.556%19%38%31%
2.56%13%0%6%
3.56%6%0%6%
4.56%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLas RozasGalapagar
HATHAT
Clean sheets314224
Failed to score112156

Penalties

MetricLas RozasGalapagar
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricLas RozasGalapagar
Wins51
Draws12
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins9-11-22-1—
Biggest losses0-31-01-82-0
Goals For9221
Goals Against4282

Model comparison

MetricLas RozasGalapagar
Form42%58%
Att43%57%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution85%15%
H2h29%71%
Goals42%58%
Total47.7%52.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Las Rozas or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.62 @ William Hill
Draw3.80 @ Bet365
Away5.49 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.98 @ 188Bet
No1.80 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.81 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (Ī»): Las Rozas = 1.63 (league 1.48), Galapagar = 0.32 (league 1.21)

Galapagar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Las Rozas 0 14.2% 4.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 23.1% 7.5% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.8% 6.1% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.2% 3.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.2% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.7% Ā· Draw 22.8% Ā· Away win 6.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1