Sun, Jan 18 2026 • 10:45 •
Estadio Municipal de El Soto
Expected Goals
1.34 (league 1.48)
1.19 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 40.1% | 26.7% | 32.8% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.7%
1 - 0
10.7%
0 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Villaverde-Boetticher | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Móstoles | 0 | 8.0% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.7% | 12.7% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.2% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Móstoles | Villaverde-Boetticher |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 40% |
| Attack | 53% | 33% |
| Defense | 47% | 80% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Móstoles | Villaverde-Boetticher | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 8 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| Wins | 67% | 50% | 59% | 25% | 44% | 35% |
| Draws | 11% | 25% | 18% | 38% | 33% | 35% |
| Loses | 22% | 25% | 24% | 38% | 22% | 29% |
Form: Móstoles: DLWWDWWWWLWWWLDWL • Villaverde-Boetticher: DLWWWWDDLWLLDDWLD
League goals
| Metric | Móstoles | Villaverde-Boetticher | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 12 | 28 | 7 | 10 | 17 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 12 | 10 | 22 | 9 | 10 | 19 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Móstoles | Villaverde-Boetticher | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 82% | 71% | 47% |
| 1.5 | 47% | 35% | 18% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 12% | 12% | 24% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Móstoles | Villaverde-Boetticher | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Móstoles | Villaverde-Boetticher |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Móstoles | Villaverde-Boetticher |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 2-4 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 2-0 | 0-3 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Móstoles | Villaverde-Boetticher |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 54% | 46% |
| Att | 62% | 38% |
| Def | 27% | 73% |
| Poisson Distribution | 53% | 47% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 77% | 23% |
| Total | 57.3% | 42.7% |
Advice: Double chance : Móstoles or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Móstoles = 1.34 (league 1.48), Villaverde-Boetticher = 1.19 (league 1.21)
| Villaverde-Boetticher | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Móstoles | 0 | 8.0% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.7% | 12.7% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.2% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.1% · Draw 26.7% · Away win 32.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1