Sun, Feb 22 2026 • 15:30 •
Estadio Galapagar
Expected Goals
1.26 (league 1.40)
1.81 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 26.4% | 23.0% | 49.3% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.6%
1 - 2
9.6%
0 - 1
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Móstoles | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Galapagar | 0 | 4.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 6.0% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 3.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Galapagar | Móstoles |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 73% |
| Attack | 58% | 92% |
| Defense | 42% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
80%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Galapagar | Móstoles | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 11 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 22 |
| Wins | 55% | 9% | 32% | 67% | 50% | 59% |
| Draws | 36% | 45% | 41% | 17% | 30% | 23% |
| Loses | 9% | 45% | 27% | 17% | 20% | 18% |
GalapagarWDWDDLDLWDLLDLWWDLWDDW
MóstolesDLWWDWWWWLWWWLDWLWWWDD
League goals
| Metric | Galapagar | Móstoles | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 15 | 39 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 17 | 14 | 31 | 15 | 11 | 26 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Galapagar | Móstoles | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 68% | 73% | 86% | 82% |
| 1.5 | 36% | 32% | 50% | 27% |
| 2.5 | 5% | 9% | 32% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 9% | 9% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Galapagar | Móstoles | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Galapagar | Móstoles |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Galapagar | Móstoles |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-1 | 4-1 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-8 | 4-0 | 0-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 8 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Galapagar | Móstoles |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 42% | 58% |
| Att | 39% | 61% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 40% | 60% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 30% | 70% |
| Total | 33.7% | 66.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home4.40 @ Betano
Draw3.50 @ Betano
Away1.85 @ Bet365
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.89 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.76 @ Marathonbet
No1.95 @ William Hill
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League standings
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