Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 10:30 •
Estadio La Mina de Carabanchel
Expected Goals
0.61 (league 1.45)
0.98 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 22.1% | 34.5% | 43.4% |
best score tips
0 - 0
20.4%
0 - 1
20.0%
1 - 0
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Móstoles | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Carabanchel | 0 | 20.4% | 20.0% | 9.8% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 12.4% | 12.2% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Carabanchel | Móstoles |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 60% |
| Attack | 8% | 67% |
| Defense | 83% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Carabanchel | Móstoles | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 11 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| Wins | 25% | 18% | 22% | 67% | 45% | 57% |
| Draws | 33% | 36% | 35% | 17% | 36% | 26% |
| Loses | 42% | 45% | 43% | 17% | 18% | 17% |
Form: Carabanchel: LWDLWDLWDWLLLLLDDDDLDWL • Móstoles: DLWWDWWWWLWWWLDWLWWWDDD
League goals
| Metric | Carabanchel | Móstoles | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 9 | 19 | 24 | 16 | 40 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 10 | 14 | 24 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Carabanchel | Móstoles | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 57% | 65% | 87% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 17% | 22% | 48% | 26% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 17% | 30% | 9% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 9% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Carabanchel | Móstoles | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Carabanchel | Móstoles |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Carabanchel | Móstoles |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 4 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-2 | 4-1 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 3-1 | 0-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Carabanchel | Móstoles |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36% | 64% |
| Att | 11% | 89% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 39% | 61% |
| H2h | 7% | 93% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 32.0% | 68.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Móstoles and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Carabanchel = 0.61 (league 1.45), Móstoles = 0.98 (league 1.22)
| Móstoles | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Carabanchel | 0 | 20.4% | 20.0% | 9.8% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 12.4% | 12.2% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.1% · Draw 34.5% · Away win 43.4%
vtt 2 , vtd1