Sun, Mar 8 2026 ā¢ 15:30 ā¢
Estadio Galapagar
Expected Goals
1.44 (league 1.45)
0.98 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 47.2% | 26.7% | 25.8% |
best score tips
1 - 0
12.8%
1 - 1
12.6%
2 - 0
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Carabanchel | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Galapagar | 0 | 8.9% | 8.7% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.8% | 12.6% | 6.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.2% | 9.0% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Galapagar | Carabanchel |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 47% |
| Attack | 33% | 13% |
| Defense | 73% | 87% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Galapagar | Carabanchel | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 13 | 11 | 24 |
| Wins | 50% | 8% | 29% | 31% | 18% | 25% |
| Draws | 42% | 50% | 46% | 31% | 36% | 33% |
| Loses | 8% | 42% | 25% | 38% | 45% | 42% |
Form: Galapagar: WDWDDLDLWDLLDLWWDLWDDWDD ā¢ Carabanchel: LWDLWDLWDWLLLLLDDDDLDWLW
League goals
| Metric | Galapagar | Carabanchel | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 6 | 25 | 11 | 9 | 20 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 18 | 14 | 32 | 10 | 14 | 24 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Galapagar | Carabanchel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 71% | 58% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 29% | 17% | 21% |
| 2.5 | 4% | 8% | 8% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 8% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Galapagar | Carabanchel | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Galapagar | Carabanchel |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Galapagar | Carabanchel |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 2 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-1 | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-8 | 4-0 | 2-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 8 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Galapagar | Carabanchel |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 71% | 29% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 59% | 41% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 63% | 38% |
| Total | 56.0% | 44.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Galapagar or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standingsā¦
Expected goals (Ī»): Galapagar = 1.44 (league 1.45), Carabanchel = 0.98 (league 1.22)
| Carabanchel | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Galapagar | 0 | 8.9% | 8.7% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.8% | 12.6% | 6.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.2% | 9.0% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.2% Ā· Draw 26.7% Ā· Away win 25.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1