Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 18:00 •
Miniestadio Cerro del Espino
Expected Goals
1.31 (league 1.44)
1.83 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 27.4% | 22.9% | 48.4% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.4%
1 - 2
9.5%
0 - 1
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Leganés II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| A Madrid III | 0 | 4.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 5.7% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 3.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | A Madrid III | Leganés II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 27% |
| Attack | 67% | 47% |
| Defense | 47% | 53% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
90%
FT probability
2.5+
63%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | A Madrid III | Leganés II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 13 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| Wins | 55% | 54% | 54% | 42% | 58% | 50% |
| Draws | 36% | 23% | 29% | 42% | 17% | 29% |
| Loses | 9% | 23% | 17% | 17% | 25% | 21% |
Form: A Madrid III: WWWWLLWDDWWWLDWWWDWLDWDD • Leganés II: DDWWDWWDWWLDLWWDWWWWLLLD
League goals
| Metric | A Madrid III | Leganés II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 23 | 38 | 61 | 18 | 26 | 44 |
| GF avg | 2.1 | 2.9 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 11 | 22 | 33 | 6 | 11 | 17 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | A Madrid III | Leganés II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 92% | 88% | 79% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 38% | 50% | 21% |
| 2.5 | 42% | 8% | 21% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 21% | 4% | 13% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 17% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | A Madrid III | Leganés II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | A Madrid III | Leganés II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | A Madrid III | Leganés II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 1-8 | 5-0 | 0-7 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 4-3 | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 5 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | A Madrid III | Leganés II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 59% | 41% |
| Def | 47% | 53% |
| Poisson Distribution | 44% | 56% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 51.7% | 48.3% |
Advice: Double chance : A Madrid III or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): A Madrid III = 1.31 (league 1.44), Leganés II = 1.83 (league 1.20)
| Leganés II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| A Madrid III | 0 | 4.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 5.7% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 3.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.4% · Draw 22.9% · Away win 48.4%
vtt 1 , vtd1