Sun, Mar 15 2026 ā¢ 10:30 ā¢
Estadio Municipal de Los Prados
Expected Goals
1.21 (league 1.46)
1.05 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 39.4% | 28.6% | 31.8% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.3%
1 - 0
12.6%
0 - 1
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Racing Madrid | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AD Parla | 0 | 10.5% | 11.0% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.6% | 13.3% | 7.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.6% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | AD Parla | Racing Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 47% |
| Attack | 13% | 47% |
| Defense | 40% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | AD Parla | Racing Madrid | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 13 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| Wins | 33% | 15% | 24% | 15% | 17% | 16% |
| Draws | 17% | 15% | 16% | 31% | 25% | 28% |
| Loses | 50% | 69% | 60% | 54% | 58% | 56% |
Form: AD Parla: LDDWWLLLDWLWLLLLLWLDLLWLL ā¢ Racing Madrid: LDDLLLLDDLLDLDLWWLLLDLWWL
League goals
| Metric | AD Parla | Racing Madrid | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 6 | 19 | 15 | 9 | 24 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 19 | 23 | 42 | 26 | 19 | 45 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | AD Parla | Racing Madrid | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 76% | 60% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 12% | 52% | 24% | 48% |
| 2.5 | 4% | 32% | 8% | 28% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 8% | 4% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | AD Parla | Racing Madrid | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | AD Parla | Racing Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 50.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 1 | 50.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | AD Parla | Racing Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-1 | 4-2 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 4-1 | 2-6 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | AD Parla | Racing Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 30% | 70% |
| Att | 22% | 78% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 56% | 44% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 39.6% | 60.4% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Racing Madrid
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standingsā¦
Expected goals (Ī»): AD Parla = 1.21 (league 1.46), Racing Madrid = 1.05 (league 1.22)
| Racing Madrid | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AD Parla | 0 | 10.5% | 11.0% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.6% | 13.3% | 7.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.6% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.4% Ā· Draw 28.6% Ā· Away win 31.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1