Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 16:00 •
Estadio Municipal de San Blas
Expected Goals
0.60 (league 1.46)
1.17 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 19.0% | 31.2% | 49.7% |
best score tips
0 - 1
19.9%
0 - 0
17.0%
1 - 1
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Móstoles | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Alcobendas Sport | 0 | 17.0% | 19.9% | 11.6% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.2% | 12.0% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Alcobendas Sport | Móstoles |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 40% |
| Attack | 27% | 40% |
| Defense | 67% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Alcobendas Sport | Móstoles | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 12 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| Wins | 31% | 42% | 36% | 69% | 42% | 56% |
| Draws | 15% | 25% | 20% | 15% | 33% | 24% |
| Loses | 54% | 33% | 44% | 15% | 25% | 20% |
Form: Alcobendas Sport: WLLLDDWDLLLWWWLWLLWWDWDLL • Móstoles: DLWWDWWWWLWWWLDWLWWWDDDLW
League goals
| Metric | Alcobendas Sport | Móstoles | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 22 | 33 | 27 | 16 | 43 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 14 | 20 | 34 | 16 | 13 | 29 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Alcobendas Sport | Móstoles | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 76% | 84% | 84% | 84% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 40% | 48% | 24% |
| 2.5 | 12% | 12% | 32% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 8% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Alcobendas Sport | Móstoles | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Alcobendas Sport | Móstoles |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Alcobendas Sport | Móstoles |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-3 | 4-1 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 3-1 | 0-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Alcobendas Sport | Móstoles |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 45% | 55% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 36% | 64% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 43% | 57% |
| Total | 40.5% | 59.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Móstoles and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Alcobendas Sport = 0.60 (league 1.46), Móstoles = 1.17 (league 1.22)
| Móstoles | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Alcobendas Sport | 0 | 17.0% | 19.9% | 11.6% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.2% | 12.0% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.0% · Draw 31.2% · Away win 49.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1