Sun, Mar 22 2026 • 10:45 •
Estadio Municipal de El Soto
Expected Goals
1.91 (league 1.43)
0.68 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 65.2% | 20.9% | 12.6% |
best score tips
1 - 0
14.3%
2 - 0
13.6%
1 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Alcorcón II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Móstoles | 0 | 7.5% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.3% | 9.8% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.6% | 9.3% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.7% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Móstoles | Alcorcón II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 40% |
| Attack | 56% | 56% |
| Defense | 44% | 44% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
73%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Móstoles | Alcorcón II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 13 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
| Wins | 69% | 38% | 54% | 36% | 17% | 27% |
| Draws | 15% | 31% | 23% | 43% | 17% | 31% |
| Loses | 15% | 31% | 23% | 21% | 67% | 42% |
Form: Móstoles: DLWWDWWWWLWWWLDWLWWWDDDLWL • Alcorcón II: DDLLLDLDLWWWLWWLLLLWDDLDWD
League goals
| Metric | Móstoles | Alcorcón II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 27 | 16 | 43 | 15 | 8 | 23 |
| GF avg | 2.1 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 16 | 14 | 30 | 12 | 16 | 28 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Móstoles | Alcorcón II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 81% | 85% | 54% | 77% |
| 1.5 | 46% | 23% | 23% | 27% |
| 2.5 | 31% | 8% | 8% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Móstoles | Alcorcón II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
Penalties
| Metric | Móstoles | Alcorcón II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Móstoles | Alcorcón II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 2-4 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 2-0 | 1-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Móstoles | Alcorcón II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 45% | 55% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 75% | 25% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 44% | 56% |
| Total | 50.3% | 49.7% |
Advice: Double chance : Móstoles or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Móstoles = 1.91 (league 1.43), Alcorcón II = 0.68 (league 1.23)
| Alcorcón II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Móstoles | 0 | 7.5% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.3% | 9.8% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.6% | 9.3% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.7% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.2% · Draw 20.9% · Away win 12.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1