Sat, Mar 28 2026 • 17:00 •
Miniestadio Cerro del Espino
Expected Goals
1.69 (league 1.42)
0.40 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 68.7% | 22.2% | 8.2% |
best score tips
1 - 0
20.8%
2 - 0
17.6%
0 - 0
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Galapagar | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| A Madrid III | 0 | 12.3% | 4.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.8% | 8.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.6% | 7.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.0% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | A Madrid III | Galapagar |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Attack | 60% | 27% |
| Defense | 53% | 73% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | A Madrid III | Galapagar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 14 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| Wins | 54% | 57% | 56% | 50% | 8% | 30% |
| Draws | 38% | 21% | 30% | 36% | 54% | 44% |
| Loses | 8% | 21% | 15% | 14% | 38% | 26% |
Form: A Madrid III: WWWWLLWDDWWWLDWWWDWLDWDDWWD • Galapagar: WDWDDLDLWDLLDLWWDLWDDWDDWDL
League goals
| Metric | A Madrid III | Galapagar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 26 | 40 | 66 | 21 | 7 | 28 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 2.9 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 13 | 23 | 36 | 20 | 15 | 35 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | A Madrid III | Galapagar | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 89% | 85% | 67% | 74% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 37% | 33% | 26% |
| 2.5 | 41% | 7% | 4% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 19% | 4% | 0% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 15% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | A Madrid III | Galapagar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | A Madrid III | Galapagar |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | A Madrid III | Galapagar |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 1-8 | 3-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 4-3 | 1-8 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 8 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | A Madrid III | Galapagar |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 69% | 31% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 79% | 21% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 89% | 11% |
| Total | 66.6% | 33.4% |
Advice: Double chance : A Madrid III or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): A Madrid III = 1.69 (league 1.42), Galapagar = 0.40 (league 1.24)
| Galapagar | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| A Madrid III | 0 | 12.3% | 4.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.8% | 8.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.6% | 7.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.0% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.7% · Draw 22.2% · Away win 8.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1