Sun, Mar 29 2026 • 09:30 •
Estadio Municipal de Los Prados
Expected Goals
0.77 (league 1.42)
1.56 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 18.5% | 25.4% | 55.6% |
best score tips
0 - 1
15.1%
0 - 2
11.8%
1 - 1
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Móstoles | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AD Parla | 0 | 9.7% | 15.1% | 11.8% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 7.5% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | AD Parla | Móstoles |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 27% |
| Attack | 24% | 24% |
| Defense | 53% | 71% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
72%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | AD Parla | Móstoles | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 14 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| Wins | 31% | 21% | 26% | 64% | 38% | 52% |
| Draws | 15% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 31% | 22% |
| Loses | 54% | 64% | 59% | 21% | 31% | 26% |
Form: AD Parla: LDDWWLLLDWLWLLLLLWLDLLWLLLW • Móstoles: DLWWDWWWWLWWWLDWLWWWDDDLWLL
League goals
| Metric | AD Parla | Móstoles | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 9 | 22 | 27 | 16 | 43 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 21 | 25 | 46 | 17 | 14 | 31 |
| GA avg | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | AD Parla | Móstoles | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 59% | 78% | 78% | 85% |
| 1.5 | 15% | 56% | 44% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 30% | 30% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 7% | 7% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | AD Parla | Móstoles | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | AD Parla | Móstoles |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 50.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 1 | 50.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | AD Parla | Móstoles |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 5 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 2-3 | 4-1 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 4-1 | 0-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | AD Parla | Móstoles |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 60% | 40% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 38% | 62% |
| Poisson Distribution | 33% | 67% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 36% | 64% |
| Total | 38.7% | 61.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Móstoles
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): AD Parla = 0.77 (league 1.42), Móstoles = 1.56 (league 1.23)
| Móstoles | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AD Parla | 0 | 9.7% | 15.1% | 11.8% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 7.5% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | |
| 2 | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.5% · Draw 25.4% · Away win 55.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1