Sun, Apr 5 2026 • 09:30 •
Estadio La Mina de Carabanchel
Expected Goals
1.01 (league 1.42)
0.34 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 52.2% | 35.5% | 12.2% |
best score tips
1 - 0
26.3%
0 - 0
25.9%
2 - 0
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
| AD Parla | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Carabanchel | 0 | 25.9% | 8.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 26.3% | 8.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.3% | 4.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Carabanchel | AD Parla |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 27% |
| Attack | 19% | 25% |
| Defense | 75% | 44% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
59%
FT probability
2.5+
41%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
57%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Carabanchel | AD Parla | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| Wins | 29% | 14% | 21% | 29% | 21% | 25% |
| Draws | 36% | 36% | 36% | 21% | 14% | 18% |
| Loses | 36% | 50% | 43% | 50% | 64% | 57% |
Form: Carabanchel: LWDLWDLWDWLLLLLDDDDLDWLWLLDD • AD Parla: LDDWWLLLDWLWLLLLLWLDLLWLLLWD
League goals
| Metric | Carabanchel | AD Parla | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 11 | 22 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 10 | 18 | 28 | 22 | 25 | 47 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Carabanchel | AD Parla | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 57% | 64% | 61% | 79% |
| 1.5 | 14% | 21% | 14% | 54% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 14% | 7% | 29% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Carabanchel | AD Parla | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 6 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Carabanchel | AD Parla |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 50.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 50.00% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Carabanchel | AD Parla |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-2 | 3-1 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 3-1 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Carabanchel | AD Parla |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 69% | 31% |
| Poisson Distribution | 74% | 26% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 38% | 62% |
| Total | 51.5% | 48.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Carabanchel or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Carabanchel = 1.01 (league 1.42), AD Parla = 0.34 (league 1.25)
| AD Parla | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Carabanchel | 0 | 25.9% | 8.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 26.3% | 8.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.3% | 4.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.2% · Draw 35.5% · Away win 12.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1