Sun, Apr 5 2026 • 16:00 •
Estadio Municipal de El Soto
Expected Goals
1.87 (league 1.42)
1.37 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 48.1% | 22.5% | 27.8% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.0%
2 - 1
9.4%
1 - 0
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Torrejón | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Móstoles | 0 | 3.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 7.4% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.9% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Móstoles | Torrejón |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 47% |
| Attack | 33% | 67% |
| Defense | 58% | 42% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
83%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Móstoles | Torrejón | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| Wins | 64% | 36% | 50% | 50% | 43% | 46% |
| Draws | 14% | 36% | 25% | 29% | 21% | 25% |
| Loses | 21% | 29% | 25% | 21% | 36% | 29% |
Form: Móstoles: DLWWDWWWWLWWWLDWLWWWDDDLWLLD • Torrejón: LWLLWWDDLWLLWWWWWWLLWWDDDDWD
League goals
| Metric | Móstoles | Torrejón | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 27 | 17 | 44 | 26 | 19 | 45 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 17 | 15 | 32 | 19 | 19 | 38 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Móstoles | Torrejón | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 79% | 86% | 82% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 21% | 46% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 7% | 21% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 0% | 11% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Móstoles | Torrejón | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Móstoles | Torrejón |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Móstoles | Torrejón |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 6 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 2-4 | 4-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 2-0 | 2-5 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 5 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Móstoles | Torrejón |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36% | 64% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 58% | 42% |
| Poisson Distribution | 59% | 41% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 47.7% | 52.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Torrejón
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Móstoles = 1.87 (league 1.42), Torrejón = 1.37 (league 1.23)
| Torrejón | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Móstoles | 0 | 3.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 7.4% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 6.9% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.1% · Draw 22.5% · Away win 27.8%
vtt 1 , vtd1