Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 09:30 •
Estadio La Canaleja
Expected Goals
1.24 (league 1.42)
1.04 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 40.6% | 28.3% | 30.9% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.2%
1 - 0
12.6%
0 - 1
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Móstoles | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Trival Valderas | 0 | 10.2% | 10.6% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.6% | 13.2% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Trival Valderas | Móstoles |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 27% |
| Attack | 71% | 43% |
| Defense | 71% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Trival Valderas | Móstoles | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 50% | 47% | 48% | 60% | 36% | 48% |
| Draws | 29% | 7% | 17% | 13% | 36% | 24% |
| Loses | 21% | 47% | 34% | 27% | 29% | 28% |
Trival ValderasWLLLLWLDWLWDLWLLWLWDWWWDWWWWD
MóstolesDLWWDWWWWLWWWLDWLWWWDDDLWLLDL
League goals
| Metric | Trival Valderas | Móstoles | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 22 | 19 | 41 | 29 | 17 | 46 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 16 | 17 | 33 | 20 | 15 | 35 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Trival Valderas | Móstoles | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 62% | 79% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 45% | 45% | 24% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 7% | 28% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 3% | 0% | 7% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Trival Valderas | Móstoles | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 6 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Trival Valderas | Móstoles |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 50.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 1 | 50.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Trival Valderas | Móstoles |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-3 | 4-1 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-1 | 0-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Trival Valderas | Móstoles |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 76% | 24% |
| Att | 63% | 38% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 53% | 47% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 47% | 53% |
| Total | 57.2% | 43.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.80 @ Dafabet
Draw3.38 @ Pinnacle
Away2.62 @ Bet365
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.08 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.75 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.81 @ Marathonbet
No1.91 @ William Hill
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League standings
Loading standings…