Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 10:00 •
Estadio Valle de las Cañas
Expected Goals
1.13 (league 1.42)
0.65 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 46.9% | 31.8% | 21.2% |
best score tips
1 - 0
19.1%
0 - 0
16.9%
1 - 1
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Racing Madrid | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pozuelo Alarcón | 0 | 16.9% | 11.0% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.1% | 12.4% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.7% | 7.0% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Pozuelo Alarcón | Racing Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 20% |
| Attack | 16% | 32% |
| Defense | 58% | 26% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 14 | 2.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Pozuelo Alarcón | Racing Madrid | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 36% | 27% | 31% | 13% | 21% | 17% |
| Draws | 36% | 40% | 38% | 27% | 21% | 24% |
| Loses | 29% | 33% | 31% | 60% | 57% | 59% |
Form: Pozuelo Alarcón: LDDWWLDWDLDDWWDDWWWDLLWDLLLDL • Racing Madrid: LDDLLLLDDLLDLDLWWLLLDLWWLWLLL
League goals
| Metric | Pozuelo Alarcón | Racing Madrid | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 14 | 28 | 16 | 13 | 29 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 13 | 14 | 27 | 34 | 23 | 57 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Pozuelo Alarcón | Racing Madrid | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 62% | 69% | 62% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 28% | 21% | 28% | 52% |
| 2.5 | 7% | 3% | 7% | 31% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 3% | 14% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Pozuelo Alarcón | Racing Madrid | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Pozuelo Alarcón | Racing Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Pozuelo Alarcón | Racing Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-3 | 4-2 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-0 | 0-6 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Pozuelo Alarcón | Racing Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25% | 75% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 64% | 36% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 46.5% | 53.5% |
Advice: Double chance : Pozuelo Alarcón or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Pozuelo Alarcón = 1.13 (league 1.42), Racing Madrid = 0.65 (league 1.25)
| Racing Madrid | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pozuelo Alarcón | 0 | 16.9% | 11.0% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 19.1% | 12.4% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.7% | 7.0% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.9% · Draw 31.8% · Away win 21.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1