Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 16:00 •
Estadio Municipal Luis Ramos
Expected Goals
0.79 (league 1.26)
3.15 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 6.1% | 10.8% | 73.1% |
best score tips
0 - 3
10.1%
0 - 2
9.6%
1 - 3
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
| UD Santa Marta | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Guijuelo | 0 | 1.9% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 5.0% |
| 1 | 1.5% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.0% | |
| 2 | 0.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Guijuelo | UD Santa Marta |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 2 |
| Form | 67% | 100% |
| Attack | 23% | 38% |
| Defense | 85% | 92% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 1.5 | 5 | 2.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
75%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Guijuelo | UD Santa Marta | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 50% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Draws | 0% | 100% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Guijuelo: WD • UD Santa Marta: WW
League goals
| Metric | Guijuelo | UD Santa Marta | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.5 |
| GA total | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Guijuelo | UD Santa Marta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 50% | 100% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 50% | 100% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Guijuelo | UD Santa Marta | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Guijuelo | UD Santa Marta |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Guijuelo | UD Santa Marta |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | — | 2-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Guijuelo | UD Santa Marta |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 38% | 63% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 37.0% | 63.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Guijuelo or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Guijuelo = 0.79 (league 1.26), UD Santa Marta = 3.15 (league 0.95)
| UD Santa Marta | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Guijuelo | 0 | 1.9% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 5.0% |
| 1 | 1.5% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.0% | |
| 2 | 0.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 6.1% · Draw 10.8% · Away win 73.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1