Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 15:00 •
Estadio Municipal Alfonso San Casto
Expected Goals
1.06 (league 1.32)
0.21 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 58.0% | 34.6% | 7.4% |
best score tips
1 - 0
29.7%
0 - 0
27.9%
2 - 0
15.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Unionistas II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| UD Santa Marta | 0 | 27.9% | 5.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 29.7% | 6.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.8% | 3.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | UD Santa Marta | Unionistas II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 78% | 22% |
| Attack | 60% | 10% |
| Defense | 80% | 80% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.7 | 2 | 0.7 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
41%
FT probability
2.5+
29%
FT probability
3.5+
20%
FT probability
BTTS
42%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | UD Santa Marta | Unionistas II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 100% | 50% | 67% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 33% | 50% | 100% | 67% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
Form: UD Santa Marta: WWD • Unionistas II: DDL
League goals
| Metric | UD Santa Marta | Unionistas II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.3 |
| GA total | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | UD Santa Marta | Unionistas II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 67% | 33% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | UD Santa Marta | Unionistas II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | UD Santa Marta | Unionistas II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | UD Santa Marta | Unionistas II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-3 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 0-1 | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | UD Santa Marta | Unionistas II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 78% | 22% |
| Att | 86% | 14% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 0% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 71.3% | 28.7% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : UD Santa Marta or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): UD Santa Marta = 1.06 (league 1.32), Unionistas II = 0.21 (league 0.99)
| Unionistas II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| UD Santa Marta | 0 | 27.9% | 5.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 29.7% | 6.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.8% | 3.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.0% · Draw 34.6% · Away win 7.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1