Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 15:00 •
Estadio Municipal Alfonso San Casto
Expected Goals
1.52 (league 1.32)
0.51 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 61.9% | 25.4% | 12.2% |
best score tips
1 - 0
20.0%
2 - 0
15.2%
0 - 0
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Villaralbo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| UD Santa Marta | 0 | 13.2% | 6.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.0% | 10.2% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.2% | 7.7% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.7% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | UD Santa Marta | Villaralbo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 27% |
| Attack | 56% | 13% |
| Defense | 75% | 63% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
62%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | UD Santa Marta | Villaralbo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 50% | 67% | 60% | 33% | 0% | 20% |
| Draws | 50% | 33% | 40% | 0% | 50% | 20% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 67% | 50% | 60% |
Form: UD Santa Marta: WWDDW • Villaralbo: LDLLW
League goals
| Metric | UD Santa Marta | Villaralbo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
| GA total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | UD Santa Marta | Villaralbo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 60% | 40% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 60% | 20% | 0% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | UD Santa Marta | Villaralbo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | UD Santa Marta | Villaralbo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | UD Santa Marta | Villaralbo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 0 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-3 | 1-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 0-2 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | UD Santa Marta | Villaralbo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 73% | 27% |
| Att | 82% | 18% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 78% | 22% |
| H2h | 75% | 25% |
| Goals | 63% | 38% |
| Total | 71.8% | 28.3% |
Advice: Double chance : UD Santa Marta or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): UD Santa Marta = 1.52 (league 1.32), Villaralbo = 0.51 (league 0.99)
| Villaralbo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| UD Santa Marta | 0 | 13.2% | 6.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.0% | 10.2% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.2% | 7.7% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.7% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.9% · Draw 25.4% · Away win 12.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1