Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 14:30 •
Estadio Municipal Alfonso San Casto
Expected Goals
2.34 (league 1.28)
0.51 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 75.3% | 15.1% | 6.4% |
best score tips
2 - 0
15.8%
1 - 0
13.5%
3 - 0
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Numancia II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| UD Santa Marta | 0 | 5.8% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.5% | 6.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.8% | 8.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.3% | 6.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.2% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | UD Santa Marta | Numancia II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 7% |
| Attack | 57% | 0% |
| Defense | 64% | 57% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 0 | 0 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
68%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | UD Santa Marta | Numancia II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 67% | 50% | 57% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 33% | 25% | 29% | 25% | 67% | 43% |
| Loses | 0% | 25% | 14% | 75% | 33% | 57% |
Form: UD Santa Marta: WWDDWWL • Numancia II: DDLLLDL
League goals
| Metric | UD Santa Marta | Numancia II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 6 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.4 |
| GA total | 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | UD Santa Marta | Numancia II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 57% | 29% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 57% | 29% | 14% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | UD Santa Marta | Numancia II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | UD Santa Marta | Numancia II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | UD Santa Marta | Numancia II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 0 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-3 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | UD Santa Marta | Numancia II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 89% | 11% |
| Att | 100% | 0% |
| Def | 55% | 45% |
| Poisson Distribution | 85% | 15% |
| H2h | 25% | 75% |
| Goals | 36% | 64% |
| Total | 58.0% | 42.0% |
Advice: Winner : UD Santa Marta
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): UD Santa Marta = 2.34 (league 1.28), Numancia II = 0.51 (league 0.96)
| Numancia II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| UD Santa Marta | 0 | 5.8% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.5% | 6.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.8% | 8.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.3% | 6.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.2% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 75.3% · Draw 15.1% · Away win 6.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1