Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 11:00 •
Estadio El Montecillo
Expected Goals
1.29 (league 1.32)
0.30 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 62.1% | 29.0% | 8.6% |
best score tips
1 - 0
26.2%
0 - 0
20.2%
2 - 0
16.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Villaralbo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Arandina | 0 | 20.2% | 6.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 26.2% | 8.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.9% | 5.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.3% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Arandina | Villaralbo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 20% |
| Attack | 23% | 8% |
| Defense | 54% | 46% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 1 | 0.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
0.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
56%
FT probability
2.5+
40%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Arandina | Villaralbo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 33% | 25% | 29% | 25% | 0% | 14% |
| Draws | 33% | 0% | 14% | 0% | 33% | 14% |
| Loses | 33% | 75% | 57% | 75% | 67% | 71% |
Form: Arandina: LDWLLWL • Villaralbo: LDLLWLL
League goals
| Metric | Arandina | Villaralbo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| GA total | 3 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Arandina | Villaralbo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 43% | 86% | 29% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 14% | 43% | 0% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 14% | 0% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 14% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Arandina | Villaralbo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Arandina | Villaralbo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Arandina | Villaralbo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-1 | 1-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 4-0 | 0-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Arandina | Villaralbo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 54% | 46% |
| Poisson Distribution | 81% | 19% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 69.3% | 30.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Arandina or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Arandina = 1.29 (league 1.32), Villaralbo = 0.30 (league 0.99)
| Villaralbo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Arandina | 0 | 20.2% | 6.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 26.2% | 8.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.9% | 5.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.3% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.1% · Draw 29.0% · Away win 8.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1