Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 16:00 •
Estadio El Montecillo
Expected Goals
1.31 (league 1.29)
0.42 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 59.2% | 28.8% | 11.8% |
best score tips
1 - 0
23.2%
0 - 0
17.7%
2 - 0
15.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Numancia II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Arandina | 0 | 17.7% | 7.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 23.2% | 9.7% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.3% | 6.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.7% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Arandina | Numancia II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 7% |
| Attack | 44% | 0% |
| Defense | 33% | 44% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 0 | 0 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
53%
FT probability
2.5+
37%
FT probability
3.5+
26%
FT probability
BTTS
56%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Arandina | Numancia II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 50% | 20% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 25% | 0% | 11% | 20% | 50% | 33% |
| Loses | 25% | 80% | 56% | 80% | 50% | 67% |
Form: Arandina: LDWLLWLWL • Numancia II: DDLLLDLLL
League goals
| Metric | Arandina | Numancia II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| GA total | 3 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Arandina | Numancia II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 44% | 78% | 22% | 89% |
| 1.5 | 22% | 33% | 11% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 11% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 11% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Arandina | Numancia II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Arandina | Numancia II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Arandina | Numancia II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-1 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 4-0 | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Arandina | Numancia II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 86% | 14% |
| Att | 100% | 0% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 77% | 23% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 65.0% | 35.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Arandina or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Arandina = 1.31 (league 1.29), Numancia II = 0.42 (league 0.96)
| Numancia II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Arandina | 0 | 17.7% | 7.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 23.2% | 9.7% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.3% | 6.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.7% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.2% · Draw 28.8% · Away win 11.8%
vtt 2 , vtd1