Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 15:30 •
Estadio Municipal Alfonso San Casto
Expected Goals
2.03 (league 1.28)
0.52 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 71.3% | 18.5% | 8.4% |
best score tips
2 - 0
16.1%
1 - 0
15.8%
3 - 0
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Atlético Mansillés | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| UD Santa Marta | 0 | 7.8% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.8% | 8.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.1% | 8.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.9% | 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | UD Santa Marta | Atlético Mansillés |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 67% |
| Attack | 78% | 56% |
| Defense | 56% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | UD Santa Marta | Atlético Mansillés | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 75% | 40% | 56% | 60% | 50% | 56% |
| Draws | 25% | 20% | 22% | 40% | 0% | 22% |
| Loses | 0% | 40% | 22% | 0% | 50% | 22% |
Form: UD Santa Marta: WWDDWWLWL • Atlético Mansillés: LDWWWDLWW
League goals
| Metric | UD Santa Marta | Atlético Mansillés | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 7 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 2 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | UD Santa Marta | Atlético Mansillés | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 56% | 56% | 56% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 33% | 33% | 11% |
| 2.5 | 22% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | UD Santa Marta | Atlético Mansillés | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | UD Santa Marta | Atlético Mansillés |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | UD Santa Marta | Atlético Mansillés |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-3 | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | — | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | UD Santa Marta | Atlético Mansillés |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 80% | 20% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 55.8% | 44.2% |
Advice: Double chance : UD Santa Marta or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): UD Santa Marta = 2.03 (league 1.28), Atlético Mansillés = 0.52 (league 0.96)
| Atlético Mansillés | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| UD Santa Marta | 0 | 7.8% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.8% | 8.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.1% | 8.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.9% | 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.3% · Draw 18.5% · Away win 8.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1