Sat, Nov 15 2025 • 14:45 •
Campo Los Dominicos
Expected Goals
0.56 (league 1.28)
1.76 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 11.3% | 22.3% | 65.5% |
best score tips
0 - 1
17.3%
0 - 2
15.2%
0 - 0
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
| UD Santa Marta | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| La Virgen del Camino | 0 | 9.9% | 17.3% | 15.2% | 8.9% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| 1 | 5.5% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | La Virgen del Camino | UD Santa Marta |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 60% |
| Attack | 38% | 100% |
| Defense | 25% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | La Virgen del Camino | UD Santa Marta | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 0% | 60% | 30% | 80% | 40% | 60% |
| Draws | 60% | 0% | 30% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Loses | 40% | 40% | 40% | 0% | 40% | 20% |
Form: La Virgen del Camino: WDWDLLWLLD • UD Santa Marta: WWDDWWLWLW
League goals
| Metric | La Virgen del Camino | UD Santa Marta | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 17 |
| GF avg | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 6 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | La Virgen del Camino | UD Santa Marta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 60% | 100% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 10% | 30% | 50% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 20% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | La Virgen del Camino | UD Santa Marta | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | La Virgen del Camino | UD Santa Marta |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | La Virgen del Camino | UD Santa Marta |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-1 | 3-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-1 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | La Virgen del Camino | UD Santa Marta |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 31% | 69% |
| Att | 27% | 73% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 27% | 73% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 63% | 38% |
| Total | 43.2% | 57.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or UD Santa Marta
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): La Virgen del Camino = 0.56 (league 1.28), UD Santa Marta = 1.76 (league 0.96)
| UD Santa Marta | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| La Virgen del Camino | 0 | 9.9% | 17.3% | 15.2% | 8.9% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| 1 | 5.5% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.3% · Draw 22.3% · Away win 65.5%
Vtot 2 , Vtod2