La Virgen del Camino vs Palencia CF

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 — Spain

Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 14:45 • Campo Los Dominicos

Match Finished

La Virgen del Camino

2 - 0

Palencia CF

Expected Goals

0.42 (league 1.28) 1.49 (league 0.96)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
10.2%	25.6%	63.8%

best score tips

0 - 1

22.0%

0 - 2

16.4%

0 - 0

14.7%

Score & goals probability table

		Palencia CF
		0	1	2	3	4	5
La Virgen del Camino	0	14.7%	22.0%	16.4%	8.2%	3.1%	0.9%
	1	6.2%	9.3%	6.9%	3.5%	1.3%	0.4%
	2	1.3%	2.0%	1.5%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%
	3	0.2%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	La Virgen del Camino	Palencia CF
Played	5	5
Form	53%	53%
Attack	75%	63%
Defense	38%	63%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	6 \| 1.2	5 \| 1
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	5 \| 1	3 \| 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

57%

FT probability

2.5+

40%

FT probability

3.5+

29%

FT probability

BTTS

62%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	La Virgen del Camino			Palencia CF
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	7	7	14	7	7	14
Wins	0%	71%	36%	71%	57%	64%
Draws	57%	0%	29%	29%	14%	21%
Loses	43%	29%	36%	0%	29%	14%

Form: La Virgen del Camino: WDWDLLWLLDLWDW • Palencia CF: WWWWDWLWWDWWLD

League goals

Metric	La Virgen del Camino			Palencia CF
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	4	8	12	14	9	23
GF avg	0.6	1.1	0.9	2.0	1.3	1.6
GA total	8	5	13	4	6	10
GA avg	1.1	0.7	0.9	0.6	0.9	0.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	La Virgen del Camino		Palencia CF
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	64%	71%	79%	57%
1.5	21%	21%	57%	14%
2.5	0%	0%	21%	0%
3.5	0%	0%	7%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	La Virgen del Camino			Palencia CF
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	1	3	4	4	2	6
Failed to score	4	1	5	1	2	3

Penalties

Metric	La Virgen del Camino	Palencia CF
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	La Virgen del Camino	Palencia CF
Wins	1	4
Draws	1	1
Losses	2	1

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	—	1-2	4-0	0-2
Biggest losses	0-2	2-1	—	2-1
Goals For	2	2	4	2
Goals Against	2	2	2	2

Model comparison

Metric	La Virgen del Camino	Palencia CF
Form	50%	50%
Att	55%	45%
Def	38%	63%
Poisson Distribution	22%	78%
H2h	29%	71%
Goals	27%	73%
Total	36.8%	63.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Palencia CF and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • La Virgen del Camino vs Palencia CF

Expected goals (λ): La Virgen del Camino = 0.42 (league 1.28), Palencia CF = 1.49 (league 0.96)

		Palencia CF
		0	1	2	3	4	5
La Virgen del Camino	0	14.7%	22.0%	16.4%	8.2%	3.1%	0.9%
	1	6.2%	9.3%	6.9%	3.5%	1.3%	0.4%
	2	1.3%	2.0%	1.5%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%
	3	0.2%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.2% · Draw 25.6% · Away win 63.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1

Metric	La Virgen del Camino	Palencia CF
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0