Sat, Dec 20 2025 ā¢ 15:15 ā¢
Estadio Municipal Alfonso San Casto
Expected Goals
2.66 (league 1.28)
0.69 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 73.8% | 13.6% | 7.3% |
best score tips
2 - 0
12.4%
3 - 0
11.0%
1 - 0
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Becerril Campos | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| UD Santa Marta | 0 | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.4% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.4% | 8.6% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.0% | 7.6% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.3% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | UD Santa Marta | Becerril Campos |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 13% |
| Attack | 75% | 88% |
| Defense | 75% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
54%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | UD Santa Marta | Becerril Campos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| Wins | 71% | 57% | 64% | 14% | 14% | 14% |
| Draws | 14% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 29% | 21% |
| Loses | 14% | 29% | 21% | 71% | 57% | 64% |
Form: UD Santa Marta: WWDDWWLWLWWLWW ā¢ Becerril Campos: LLDWLLWLLDLLDL
League goals
| Metric | UD Santa Marta | Becerril Campos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 9 | 21 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 4 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 27 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 2.0 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | UD Santa Marta | Becerril Campos | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 93% | 43% | 86% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 43% | 29% | 29% | 64% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 0% | 7% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | UD Santa Marta | Becerril Campos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | UD Santa Marta | Becerril Campos |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | UD Santa Marta | Becerril Campos |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-3 | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-1 | 1-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | UD Santa Marta | Becerril Campos |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 86% | 14% |
| Att | 46% | 54% |
| Def | 83% | 17% |
| Poisson Distribution | 82% | 18% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 43% | 57% |
| Total | 65.0% | 35.0% |
Advice: Double chance : UD Santa Marta or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standingsā¦
Expected goals (Ī»): UD Santa Marta = 2.66 (league 1.28), Becerril Campos = 0.69 (league 0.96)
| Becerril Campos | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| UD Santa Marta | 0 | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.4% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.4% | 8.6% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.0% | 7.6% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 7.3% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.8% Ā· Draw 13.6% Ā· Away win 7.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1