Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 11:00 •
Estadio La Nueva Balastera
Expected Goals
1.40 (league 1.29)
0.82 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 50.4% | 27.4% | 21.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
15.3%
1 - 1
12.5%
0 - 0
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
| UD Santa Marta | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Palencia CF | 0 | 10.9% | 8.9% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.3% | 12.5% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.7% | 8.7% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Palencia CF | UD Santa Marta |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 80% |
| Attack | 45% | 82% |
| Defense | 55% | 82% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
68%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Palencia CF | UD Santa Marta | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 8 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| Wins | 71% | 50% | 60% | 75% | 57% | 67% |
| Draws | 29% | 13% | 20% | 13% | 14% | 13% |
| Loses | 0% | 38% | 20% | 13% | 29% | 20% |
Form: Palencia CF: WWWWDWLWWDWWLDL • UD Santa Marta: WWDDWWLWLWWLWWW
League goals
| Metric | Palencia CF | UD Santa Marta | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 9 | 23 | 17 | 9 | 26 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 4 | 8 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Palencia CF | UD Santa Marta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 60% | 93% | 40% |
| 1.5 | 53% | 20% | 47% | 27% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 0% | 20% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 0% | 7% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 7% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Palencia CF | UD Santa Marta | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Palencia CF | UD Santa Marta |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Palencia CF | UD Santa Marta |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-2 | 5-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Palencia CF | UD Santa Marta |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 37% | 63% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 29% | 71% |
| Poisson Distribution | 64% | 36% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 58% | 42% |
| Total | 47.7% | 52.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or UD Santa Marta
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Palencia CF = 1.40 (league 1.29), UD Santa Marta = 0.82 (league 0.96)
| UD Santa Marta | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Palencia CF | 0 | 10.9% | 8.9% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.3% | 12.5% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 10.7% | 8.7% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.4% · Draw 27.4% · Away win 21.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1