Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 15:30 •
Campo Municipal La Arboleda 2
Expected Goals
0.71 (league 1.28)
1.15 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 22.7% | 31.1% | 46.0% |
best score tips
0 - 1
17.9%
0 - 0
15.6%
1 - 1
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
| La Virgen del Camino | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Almazán | 0 | 15.6% | 17.9% | 10.3% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 11.1% | 12.7% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Almazán | La Virgen del Camino |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 67% |
| Attack | 22% | 39% |
| Defense | 78% | 78% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
58%
FT probability
2.5+
41%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Almazán | La Virgen del Camino | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| Wins | 29% | 29% | 29% | 13% | 71% | 40% |
| Draws | 57% | 43% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 27% |
| Loses | 14% | 29% | 21% | 38% | 29% | 33% |
Form: Almazán: DDDLLWWWDLDDWD • La Virgen del Camino: WDWDLLWLLDLWDWW
League goals
| Metric | Almazán | La Virgen del Camino | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 7 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 14 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 7 | 8 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Almazán | La Virgen del Camino | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 79% | 67% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 21% | 21% | 27% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 7% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Almazán | La Virgen del Camino | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Almazán | La Virgen del Camino |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Almazán | La Virgen del Camino |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-2 | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-0 | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Almazán | La Virgen del Camino |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 63% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 39% | 61% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 36% | 64% |
| Total | 39.5% | 60.7% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or La Virgen del Camino and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Almazán = 0.71 (league 1.28), La Virgen del Camino = 1.15 (league 0.96)
| La Virgen del Camino | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Almazán | 0 | 15.6% | 17.9% | 10.3% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 11.1% | 12.7% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.7% · Draw 31.1% · Away win 46.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1