Sat, Jan 17 2026 ā¢ 15:15 ā¢
Estadio Municipal Alfonso San Casto
Expected Goals
4.45 (league 1.29)
0.51 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
best score tips
4 - 0
11.4%
3 - 0
10.3%
5 - 0
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Mojados | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| UD Santa Marta | 0 | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.9% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.3% | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 11.4% | 5.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 10.2% | 5.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | UD Santa Marta | Mojados |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 27% |
| Attack | 80% | 33% |
| Defense | 73% | 20% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
82%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | UD Santa Marta | Mojados | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 8 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| Wins | 78% | 50% | 65% | 38% | 0% | 18% |
| Draws | 11% | 13% | 12% | 25% | 33% | 29% |
| Loses | 11% | 38% | 24% | 38% | 67% | 53% |
Form: UD Santa Marta: WWDDWWLWLWWLWWWLW ā¢ Mojados: LLLLDLDWDWDLLWLDL
League goals
| Metric | UD Santa Marta | Mojados | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 20 | 10 | 30 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| GF avg | 2.2 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 6 | 8 | 14 | 9 | 23 | 32 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 2.6 | 1.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | UD Santa Marta | Mojados | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 94% | 47% | 65% | 76% |
| 1.5 | 47% | 35% | 12% | 59% |
| 2.5 | 24% | 0% | 6% | 35% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 18% |
| 4.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | UD Santa Marta | Mojados | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | UD Santa Marta | Mojados |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | UD Santa Marta | Mojados |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 1-3 | 3-2 | ā |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-1 | 1-3 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | UD Santa Marta | Mojados |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 75% | 25% |
| Att | 71% | 29% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 91% | 9% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 92% | 8% |
| Total | 80.8% | 19.2% |
Advice: Combo Winner : UD Santa Marta and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standingsā¦
Expected goals (Ī»): UD Santa Marta = 4.45 (league 1.29), Mojados = 0.51 (league 0.96)
| Mojados | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| UD Santa Marta | 0 | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 6.9% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.3% | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 11.4% | 5.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 10.2% | 5.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.5% Ā· Draw 3.5% Ā· Away win 1.2%
vtt 1 , vtd1