Sat, Jan 17 2026 ā¢ 17:00 ā¢
Estadio El Montecillo
Expected Goals
0.62 (league 1.29)
0.73 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 27.1% | 39.0% | 33.9% |
best score tips
0 - 0
25.8%
0 - 1
18.9%
1 - 0
16.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Palencia CF | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Arandina | 0 | 25.8% | 18.9% | 6.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.0% | 11.8% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Arandina | Palencia CF |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 47% |
| Attack | 20% | 47% |
| Defense | 60% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
57%
FT probability
2.5+
40%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
58%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Arandina | Palencia CF | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 9 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| Wins | 38% | 11% | 24% | 75% | 56% | 65% |
| Draws | 38% | 22% | 29% | 25% | 11% | 18% |
| Loses | 25% | 67% | 47% | 0% | 33% | 18% |
Form: Arandina: LDWLLWLWLDLDDLDLW ā¢ Palencia CF: WWWWDWLWWDWWLDLWW
League goals
| Metric | Arandina | Palencia CF | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 13 | 29 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 4 | 17 | 21 | 5 | 9 | 14 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Arandina | Palencia CF | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 47% | 71% | 76% | 65% |
| 1.5 | 12% | 29% | 59% | 18% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 18% | 24% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 6% | 12% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Arandina | Palencia CF | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Arandina | Palencia CF |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Arandina | Palencia CF |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-1 | 4-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 4-0 | ā | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Arandina | Palencia CF |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 42% | 58% |
| Att | 30% | 70% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 44% | 56% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 47% | 53% |
| Total | 47.3% | 52.7% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Arandina or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standingsā¦
Expected goals (Ī»): Arandina = 0.62 (league 1.29), Palencia CF = 0.73 (league 0.96)
| Palencia CF | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Arandina | 0 | 25.8% | 18.9% | 6.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.0% | 11.8% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.1% Ā· Draw 39.0% Ā· Away win 33.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1