Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 15:15 •
Estadio Municipal Alfonso San Casto
Expected Goals
1.57 (league 1.28)
0.47 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 64.2% | 24.5% | 10.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
20.5%
2 - 0
16.1%
0 - 0
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Colegios Diocesanos | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| UD Santa Marta | 0 | 13.1% | 6.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.5% | 9.6% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.1% | 7.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.4% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | UD Santa Marta | Colegios Diocesanos |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 20% |
| Attack | 50% | 50% |
| Defense | 70% | 10% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
58%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | UD Santa Marta | Colegios Diocesanos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 10 | 21 | 10 | 10 | 20 |
| Wins | 82% | 40% | 62% | 20% | 40% | 30% |
| Draws | 9% | 20% | 14% | 20% | 30% | 25% |
| Loses | 9% | 40% | 24% | 60% | 30% | 45% |
Form: UD Santa Marta: WWDDWWLWLWWLWWWLWWLWD • Colegios Diocesanos: DDLDLWWWLWDDLWLLLLLW
League goals
| Metric | UD Santa Marta | Colegios Diocesanos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 22 | 10 | 32 | 12 | 9 | 21 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 6 | 9 | 15 | 15 | 10 | 25 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | UD Santa Marta | Colegios Diocesanos | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 43% | 65% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 29% | 35% | 45% |
| 2.5 | 19% | 0% | 5% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | UD Santa Marta | Colegios Diocesanos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 4 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | UD Santa Marta | Colegios Diocesanos |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | UD Santa Marta | Colegios Diocesanos |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 5 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 1-3 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | UD Santa Marta | Colegios Diocesanos |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 77% | 23% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 74% | 26% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 82% | 18% |
| Total | 75.2% | 24.8% |
Advice: Double chance : UD Santa Marta or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): UD Santa Marta = 1.57 (league 1.28), Colegios Diocesanos = 0.47 (league 0.97)
| Colegios Diocesanos | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| UD Santa Marta | 0 | 13.1% | 6.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.5% | 9.6% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 16.1% | 7.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.4% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.2% · Draw 24.5% · Away win 10.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1