Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 16:00 • Estadio El Montecillo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.49 (league 1.27) 0.58 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.8% 44.6% 30.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
34.0%
0 - 1
19.8%
1 - 0
16.8%
Score & goals probability table
Colegios Diocesanos
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arandina 0 34.0% 19.8% 5.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.8% 9.8% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 4.2% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArandinaColegios Diocesanos
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack88%63%
Defense0%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

52%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Arandina Colegios Diocesanos
HATHAT
Played111223111122
Wins27%17%22%27%36%32%
Draws36%25%30%18%36%27%
Loses36%58%48%55%27%41%

Form: Arandina: LDWLLWLWLDLDDLDLWLWDLLD • Colegios Diocesanos: DDLDLWWWLWDDLWLLLLLWDW

League goals

Metric Arandina Colegios Diocesanos
HATHAT
GF total891714923
GF avg0.70.80.71.30.81.0
GA total82331161026
GA avg0.71.91.31.50.91.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArandinaColegios Diocesanos
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.552%78%64%68%
1.517%35%36%41%
2.54%17%5%9%
3.50%4%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArandinaColegios Diocesanos
HATHAT
Clean sheets415167
Failed to score5611358

Penalties

MetricArandinaColegios Diocesanos
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricArandinaColegios Diocesanos
Wins13
Draws22
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-32-00-2
Biggest losses1-24-01-23-0
Goals For2332
Goals Against2423

Model comparison

MetricArandinaColegios Diocesanos
Form42%58%
Att58%42%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h80%20%
Goals81%19%
Total56.8%43.2%

Advice: Double chance : Arandina or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Arandina = 0.49 (league 1.27), Colegios Diocesanos = 0.58 (league 0.96)

Colegios Diocesanos
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arandina 0 34.0% 19.8% 5.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.8% 9.8% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 4.2% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.8% · Draw 44.6% · Away win 30.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1