Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 12:00 •
Ciudad del Fútbol Francisco Rubio Garcés Campo 2
Expected Goals
0.43 (league 1.29)
1.04 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 15.3% | 34.6% | 50.1% |
best score tips
0 - 1
23.8%
0 - 0
23.0%
0 - 2
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
| UD Santa Marta | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Numancia II | 0 | 23.0% | 23.8% | 12.3% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.0% | 10.3% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Numancia II | UD Santa Marta |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 53% |
| Attack | 25% | 25% |
| Defense | 50% | 83% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
55%
FT probability
2.5+
39%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
58%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Numancia II | UD Santa Marta | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 12 | 23 | 13 | 11 | 24 |
| Wins | 36% | 8% | 22% | 69% | 45% | 58% |
| Draws | 9% | 25% | 17% | 15% | 18% | 17% |
| Loses | 55% | 67% | 61% | 15% | 36% | 25% |
Form: Numancia II: DDLLLDLLLDWLLLWLWLWLLLW • UD Santa Marta: WWDDWWLWLWWLWWWLWWLWDDWL
League goals
| Metric | Numancia II | UD Santa Marta | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 7 | 15 | 23 | 11 | 34 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 11 | 21 | 32 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Numancia II | UD Santa Marta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 39% | 78% | 83% | 42% |
| 1.5 | 26% | 43% | 33% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 17% | 17% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Numancia II | UD Santa Marta | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 14 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 8 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Numancia II | UD Santa Marta |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Numancia II | UD Santa Marta |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-2 | 5-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-0 | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Numancia II | UD Santa Marta |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 25% | 75% |
| Poisson Distribution | 31% | 69% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 45.2% | 54.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Numancia II or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Numancia II = 0.43 (league 1.29), UD Santa Marta = 1.04 (league 0.97)
| UD Santa Marta | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Numancia II | 0 | 23.0% | 23.8% | 12.3% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.0% | 10.3% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.3% · Draw 34.6% · Away win 50.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1