Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 15:30 •
Estadio Municipal Alfonso San Casto
Expected Goals
0.99 (league 1.27)
1.11 (league 0.97)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 31.9% | 29.8% | 38.1% |
best score tips
0 - 1
13.6%
1 - 1
13.5%
0 - 0
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Atlético Tordesillas | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| UD Santa Marta | 0 | 12.2% | 13.6% | 7.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 12.1% | 13.5% | 7.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.0% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | UD Santa Marta | Atlético Tordesillas |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 80% |
| Attack | 36% | 79% |
| Defense | 79% | 79% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
67%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
59%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | UD Santa Marta | Atlético Tordesillas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 12 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| Wins | 69% | 50% | 60% | 77% | 58% | 68% |
| Draws | 15% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 33% | 24% |
| Loses | 15% | 33% | 24% | 8% | 8% | 8% |
Form: UD Santa Marta: WWDDWWLWLWWLWWWLWWLWDDWLW • Atlético Tordesillas: DDWLWWWWWWWWWDWDDWWDLWWWW
League goals
| Metric | UD Santa Marta | Atlético Tordesillas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 23 | 14 | 37 | 22 | 22 | 44 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 8 | 10 | 18 | 5 | 8 | 13 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | UD Santa Marta | Atlético Tordesillas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 84% | 44% | 84% | 40% |
| 1.5 | 36% | 28% | 52% | 8% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 0% | 28% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 0% | 12% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | UD Santa Marta | Atlético Tordesillas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 9 | 5 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | UD Santa Marta | Atlético Tordesillas |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | UD Santa Marta | Atlético Tordesillas |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 9 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 1-3 | 4-1 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-1 | 0-1 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | UD Santa Marta | Atlético Tordesillas |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 31% | 69% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 44% | 56% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 55% | 45% |
| Total | 45.0% | 55.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Atlético Tordesillas
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): UD Santa Marta = 0.99 (league 1.27), Atlético Tordesillas = 1.11 (league 0.97)
| Atlético Tordesillas | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| UD Santa Marta | 0 | 12.2% | 13.6% | 7.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 12.1% | 13.5% | 7.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.0% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.9% · Draw 29.8% · Away win 38.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1