UD Santa Marta vs La Virgen del Camino

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 — Spain

Sat, Mar 28 2026 • 15:30 • Estadio Municipal Alfonso San Casto

Not Started

UD Santa Marta

—

La Virgen del Camino

Expected Goals

1.05 (league 1.30) 0.66 (league 0.96)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
44.2%	33.0%	22.7%

best score tips

1 - 0

19.0%

0 - 0

18.2%

1 - 1

12.5%

Score & goals probability table

		La Virgen del Camino
		0	1	2	3	4	5
UD Santa Marta	0	18.2%	11.9%	3.9%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
	1	19.0%	12.5%	4.1%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
	2	10.0%	6.6%	2.2%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
	3	3.5%	2.3%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.9%	0.6%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	UD Santa Marta	La Virgen del Camino
Played	5	5
Form	40%	20%
Attack	33%	11%
Defense	61%	72%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	6 \| 1.2	2 \| 0.4
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	7 \| 1.4	5 \| 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%

FT probability

2.5+

40%

FT probability

3.5+

28%

FT probability

BTTS

58%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	UD Santa Marta			La Virgen del Camino
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	14	13	27	13	13	26
Wins	64%	46%	56%	23%	54%	38%
Draws	14%	15%	15%	46%	15%	31%
Loses	21%	38%	30%	31%	31%	31%

Form: UD Santa Marta: WWDDWWLWLWWLWWWLWWLWDDWLWLL • La Virgen del Camino: WDWDLLWLLDLWDWWDWWLWWLLDDD

League goals

Metric	UD Santa Marta			La Virgen del Camino
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	24	14	38	10	12	22
GF avg	1.7	1.1	1.4	0.8	0.9	0.8
GA total	10	12	22	11	10	21
GA avg	0.7	0.9	0.8	0.8	0.8	0.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	UD Santa Marta		La Virgen del Camino
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	81%	48%	65%	58%
1.5	33%	33%	19%	19%
2.5	19%	0%	0%	4%
3.5	4%	0%	0%	0%
4.5	4%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	UD Santa Marta			La Virgen del Camino
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	9	5	14	5	6	11
Failed to score	2	3	5	6	3	9

Penalties

Metric	UD Santa Marta	La Virgen del Camino
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	0

Streaks

Metric	UD Santa Marta	La Virgen del Camino
Wins	3	2
Draws	2	1
Losses	1	2

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	5-0	1-3	2-0	1-2
Biggest losses	0-2	2-0	0-2	3-1
Goals For	5	3	2	2
Goals Against	2	2	2	3

Model comparison

Metric	UD Santa Marta	La Virgen del Camino
Form	67%	33%
Att	75%	25%
Def	42%	58%
Poisson Distribution	59%	41%
H2h	50%	50%
Goals	47%	53%
Total	56.7%	43.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : UD Santa Marta or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • UD Santa Marta vs La Virgen del Camino

Expected goals (λ): UD Santa Marta = 1.05 (league 1.30), La Virgen del Camino = 0.66 (league 0.96)

		La Virgen del Camino
		0	1	2	3	4	5
UD Santa Marta	0	18.2%	11.9%	3.9%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
	1	19.0%	12.5%	4.1%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
	2	10.0%	6.6%	2.2%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
	3	3.5%	2.3%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.9%	0.6%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.2% · Draw 33.0% · Away win 22.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1

Metric	UD Santa Marta	La Virgen del Camino
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	0