Sat, Apr 11 2026 ā¢ 16:00 ā¢
Estadio El Montecillo
Expected Goals
0.61 (league 1.32)
0.82 (league 0.99)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 24.9% | 37.5% | 37.6% |
best score tips
0 - 0
24.0%
0 - 1
19.7%
1 - 0
14.6%
Score & goals probability table
| La Virgen del Camino | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Arandina | 0 | 24.0% | 19.7% | 8.1% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.6% | 11.9% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Arandina | La Virgen del Camino |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 53% |
| Attack | 20% | 30% |
| Defense | 65% | 65% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
54%
FT probability
2.5+
38%
FT probability
3.5+
27%
FT probability
BTTS
58%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Arandina | La Virgen del Camino | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 29% | 20% | 24% | 33% | 50% | 41% |
| Draws | 29% | 27% | 28% | 40% | 14% | 28% |
| Loses | 43% | 53% | 48% | 27% | 36% | 31% |
Form: Arandina: LDWLLWLWLDLDDLDLWLWDLLDWLLWLD ā¢ La Virgen del Camino: WDWDLLWLLDLWDWWDWWLWWLLDDDLWW
League goals
| Metric | Arandina | La Virgen del Camino | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 12 | 23 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 12 | 26 | 38 | 12 | 14 | 26 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Arandina | La Virgen del Camino | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 55% | 76% | 66% | 59% |
| 1.5 | 21% | 38% | 21% | 21% |
| 2.5 | 3% | 14% | 3% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 3% | 0% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Arandina | La Virgen del Camino | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 7 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
Penalties
| Metric | Arandina | La Virgen del Camino |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Arandina | La Virgen del Camino |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-3 | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-0 | 0-2 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Arandina | La Virgen del Camino |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 44% | 56% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 56% | 44% |
| Total | 47.5% | 52.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or La Virgen del Camino
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standingsā¦
Expected goals (Ī»): Arandina = 0.61 (league 1.32), La Virgen del Camino = 0.82 (league 0.99)
| La Virgen del Camino | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Arandina | 0 | 24.0% | 19.7% | 8.1% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.6% | 11.9% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.9% Ā· Draw 37.5% Ā· Away win 37.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1