Guijuelo vs Cristo Atlético

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 — Spain

Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 15:00 • Estadio Municipal Luis Ramos

Not Started

Guijuelo

—

Cristo Atlético

Expected Goals

0.77 (league 1.33) 0.65 (league 0.99)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
34.3%	37.9%	27.7%

best score tips

0 - 0

24.2%

1 - 0

18.5%

0 - 1

15.8%

Score & goals probability table

		Cristo Atlético
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Guijuelo	0	24.3%	15.9%	5.2%	1.1%	0.2%	0.0%
	1	18.5%	12.1%	4.0%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
	2	7.0%	4.6%	1.5%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%
	3	1.8%	1.2%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

FootyWow Elo verdict

Balanced Elo outlook

Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Guijuelo +38.9, Cristo Atlético +29.1.

Thin confidence Upset risk: High Elo standalone

Guijuelo Elo 1561 · +38.9

Cristo Atlético Elo 1592.3 · +29.1

Elo gapGuijuelo +4

Home / draw / away36% / 30% / 34%

Expected home share51%

Combined Elo3153.3

Deep Elo analysisOpen

Structural edge Balanced Elo outlook

Confidence band Thin confidence

Upset risk High

Model agreement Elo standalone

Combined Elo 3153.3

Elo home share 51%

Match tone Must Watch

Metric	Guijuelo	Cristo Atlético
Overall Elo	1561	1592.3
Form Elo	1577.9	1620.9
Home / Away Elo	1532.5	1542
Attack Elo	1521.4	1545.5
Defense Elo	1535.7	1592.8
Last 5 Elo change	+38.9	+29.1

The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Guijuelo last-5 Elo change: +38.9; Cristo Atlético last-5 Elo change: +29.1.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Guijuelo	Cristo Atlético
Played	5	5
Form	87%	87%
Attack	100%	90%
Defense	80%	60%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	12 \| 2.4	9 \| 1.8
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	2 \| 0.4	4 \| 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.10

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%

FT probability

2.5+

43%

FT probability

3.5+

30%

FT probability

BTTS

62%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Guijuelo			Cristo Atlético
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	15	16	31	16	15	31
Wins	73%	50%	61%	63%	60%	61%
Draws	20%	25%	23%	13%	20%	16%
Loses	7%	25%	16%	25%	20%	23%

GuijueloWDDWWWWLDWDWWWWWDLWLDWWWLLWWWWD

Cristo AtléticoWWWWLWWWWDLDWLLDWWLLDWLWWWDWWWW

League goals

Metric	Guijuelo			Cristo Atlético
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	26	21	47	25	19	44
GF avg	1.7	1.3	1.5	1.6	1.3	1.4
GA total	7	17	24	12	9	21
GA avg	0.5	1.1	0.8	0.8	0.6	0.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Guijuelo		Cristo Atlético
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	81%	61%	87%	48%
1.5	48%	13%	42%	19%
2.5	16%	3%	10%	0%
3.5	6%	0%	3%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Guijuelo			Cristo Atlético
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	9	3	12	8	8	16
Failed to score	2	4	6	2	2	4

Penalties

Metric	Guijuelo	Cristo Atlético
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	Guijuelo	Cristo Atlético
Wins	5	4
Draws	2	1
Losses	2	2

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	4-0	1-3	3-0	0-2
Biggest losses	0-2	3-1	1-2	2-1
Goals For	4	3	4	2
Goals Against	2	3	2	2

Model comparison

Metric	Guijuelo	Cristo Atlético
Form	50%	50%
Att	57%	43%
Def	67%	33%
Poisson Distribution	57%	43%
H2h	67%	33%
Goals	43%	57%
Total	56.8%	43.2%

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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League page • Country page • Venue page • Guijuelo vs Cristo Atlético

Metric	Guijuelo	Cristo Atlético
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0