Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 17:30 •
Estadio Polideportivo La Juventud
Expected Goals
0.52 (league 1.35)
1.02 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 18.3% | 34.3% | 47.3% |
best score tips
0 - 1
21.9%
0 - 0
21.4%
1 - 1
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Atlético Porcuna | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mancha Real | 0 | 21.4% | 21.9% | 11.2% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.1% | 11.3% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mancha Real | Atlético Porcuna |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 44% | 33% |
| Attack | 33% | 50% |
| Defense | 50% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.7 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0.7 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
31%
FT probability
2.5+
22%
FT probability
3.5+
16%
FT probability
BTTS
34%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mancha Real | Atlético Porcuna | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 0% | 50% | 33% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Draws | 100% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 33% | 50% | 100% | 67% |
Form: Mancha Real: WDL • Atlético Porcuna: WLL
League goals
| Metric | Mancha Real | Atlético Porcuna | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| GF avg | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mancha Real | Atlético Porcuna | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 33% | 67% | 33% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 33% | 33% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 33% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mancha Real | Atlético Porcuna | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mancha Real | Atlético Porcuna |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mancha Real | Atlético Porcuna |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-2 | 3-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mancha Real | Atlético Porcuna |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 0% |
| H2h | 64% | 36% |
| Goals | 56% | 44% |
| Total | 51.4% | 48.6% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Atlético Porcuna and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Mancha Real = 0.52 (league 1.35), Atlético Porcuna = 1.02 (league 0.98)
| Atlético Porcuna | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mancha Real | 0 | 21.4% | 21.9% | 11.2% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.1% | 11.3% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.3% · Draw 34.3% · Away win 47.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1