Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 17:00 •
Estadio Municipal
Expected Goals
1.48 (league 1.35)
1.02 (league 0.98)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 47.2% | 26.2% | 26.2% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.4%
1 - 0
12.1%
2 - 1
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Torre del Mar | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Marbelli | 0 | 8.2% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.1% | 12.4% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.9% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Marbelli | Torre del Mar |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 78% | 44% |
| Attack | 50% | 30% |
| Defense | 70% | 70% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.7 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
55%
FT probability
2.5+
39%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
58%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Marbelli | Torre del Mar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 100% | 50% | 67% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 33% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 33% |
Form: Marbelli: WWD • Torre del Mar: DLW
League goals
| Metric | Marbelli | Torre del Mar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Marbelli | Torre del Mar | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 67% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Marbelli | Torre del Mar | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Marbelli | Torre del Mar |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Marbelli | Torre del Mar |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 1-2 | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Marbelli | Torre del Mar |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 63% | 38% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 55.4% | 44.8% |
Advice: Double chance : Marbelli or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Marbelli = 1.48 (league 1.35), Torre del Mar = 1.02 (league 0.98)
| Torre del Mar | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Marbelli | 0 | 8.2% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.1% | 12.4% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.9% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.2% · Draw 26.2% · Away win 26.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1