Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 17:00 • Estadio Municipal
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.50 (league 1.33) 0.94 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.9% 26.1% 23.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.1%
1 - 1
12.3%
2 - 0
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Torre del Mar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Marbelli 0 8.7% 8.2% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 13.1% 12.3% 5.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.8% 9.2% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.9% 4.6% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.8% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMarbelliTorre del Mar
Played33
Form78%44%
Attack50%30%
Defense70%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 1.73 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 13 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

55%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Marbelli Torre del Mar
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins100%50%67%50%0%33%
Draws0%50%33%50%0%33%
Loses0%0%0%0%100%33%

Form: Marbelli: WWD • Torre del Mar: DLW

League goals

Metric Marbelli Torre del Mar
HATHAT
GF total145303
GF avg1.02.01.71.50.01.0
GA total033123
GA avg0.01.51.00.52.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMarbelliTorre del Mar
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%67%67%67%
1.567%33%33%33%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMarbelliTorre del Mar
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricMarbelliTorre del Mar
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricMarbelliTorre del Mar
Wins20
Draws01
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-22-0
Biggest losses2-0
Goals For1220
Goals Against0212

Model comparison

MetricMarbelliTorre del Mar
Form64%36%
Att63%38%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total55.4%44.8%

Advice: Double chance : Marbelli or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Marbelli = 1.50 (league 1.33), Torre del Mar = 0.94 (league 1.07)

Torre del Mar
0 1 2 3 4 5
Marbelli 0 8.7% 8.2% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 13.1% 12.3% 5.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.8% 9.2% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.9% 4.6% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.8% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.9% · Draw 26.1% · Away win 23.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1