Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 16:30 •
Estadio Municipal San Benito
Expected Goals
1.69 (league 1.33)
0.94 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 54.3% | 24.1% | 20.8% |
best score tips
1 - 0
12.2%
1 - 1
11.5%
2 - 0
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Marbelli | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atlético Porcuna | 0 | 7.2% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.2% | 11.5% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.3% | 9.7% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.8% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Atlético Porcuna | Marbelli |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 25% | 58% |
| Attack | 33% | 67% |
| Defense | 56% | 44% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.8 | 6 | 1.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
72%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Atlético Porcuna | Marbelli | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 25% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| Loses | 50% | 100% | 75% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
Form: Atlético Porcuna: WLLL • Marbelli: WWDL
League goals
| Metric | Atlético Porcuna | Marbelli | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Atlético Porcuna | Marbelli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 25% | 75% | 100% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 25% | 50% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Atlético Porcuna | Marbelli | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Atlético Porcuna | Marbelli |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Atlético Porcuna | Marbelli |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | — | 1-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-0 | 1-2 | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Atlético Porcuna | Marbelli |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 30% | 70% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 58% | 42% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 25% | 75% |
| Total | 37.0% | 63.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Marbelli
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Atlético Porcuna = 1.69 (league 1.33), Marbelli = 0.94 (league 1.07)
| Marbelli | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Atlético Porcuna | 0 | 7.2% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.2% | 11.5% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.3% | 9.7% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.8% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.3% · Draw 24.1% · Away win 20.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1