Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 16:00 •
Polideportivo Municipal Abdon MartÃnez Fariñas
Expected Goals
0.33 (league 1.37)
0.47 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 18.8% | 52.1% | 29.1% |
best score tips
0 - 0
44.8%
0 - 1
21.2%
1 - 0
14.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Mancha Real | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Torreperogil | 0 | 44.8% | 21.2% | 5.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.8% | 7.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Torreperogil | Mancha Real |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 8% | 58% |
| Attack | 11% | 44% |
| Defense | 33% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.3 | 4 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.5 | 3 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
47%
FT probability
2.5+
33%
FT probability
3.5+
24%
FT probability
BTTS
47%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Torreperogil | Mancha Real | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Draws | 50% | 0% | 25% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Loses | 50% | 100% | 75% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
Form: Torreperogil: LDLL • Mancha Real: WDLW
League goals
| Metric | Torreperogil | Mancha Real | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| GF avg | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 1 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Torreperogil | Mancha Real | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 25% | 75% | 50% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 50% | 50% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Torreperogil | Mancha Real | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Torreperogil | Mancha Real |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Torreperogil | Mancha Real |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 2-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-0 | — | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Torreperogil | Mancha Real |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 13% | 88% |
| Att | 20% | 80% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 29.8% | 70.4% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Mancha Real and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Torreperogil = 0.33 (league 1.37), Mancha Real = 0.47 (league 1.06)
| Mancha Real | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Torreperogil | 0 | 44.8% | 21.2% | 5.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.8% | 7.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.8% · Draw 52.1% · Away win 29.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1