Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 17:00 •
Estadio Nuevo Municipal
Expected Goals
1.49 (league 1.34)
0.74 (league 1.02)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 54.7% | 26.3% | 18.5% |
best score tips
1 - 0
16.1%
2 - 0
12.0%
1 - 1
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Motril | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Arenas Armilla | 0 | 10.8% | 8.0% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.1% | 11.9% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.0% | 8.8% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.9% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Arenas Armilla | Motril |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 87% |
| Attack | 70% | 70% |
| Defense | 80% | 80% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
0.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
56%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Arenas Armilla | Motril | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 100% | 67% | 80% | 100% | 50% | 80% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 20% |
| Loses | 0% | 33% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Arenas Armilla: WWWWL • Motril: WDWWW
League goals
| Metric | Arenas Armilla | Motril | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Arenas Armilla | Motril | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 40% | 80% | 20% |
| 1.5 | 60% | 0% | 40% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 20% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Arenas Armilla | Motril | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Arenas Armilla | Motril |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Arenas Armilla | Motril |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-2 | 2-0 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Arenas Armilla | Motril |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 48% | 52% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 62% | 38% |
| H2h | 7% | 93% |
| Goals | 14% | 86% |
| Total | 38.5% | 61.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Motril
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Arenas Armilla = 1.49 (league 1.34), Motril = 0.74 (league 1.02)
| Motril | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Arenas Armilla | 0 | 10.8% | 8.0% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.1% | 11.9% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.0% | 8.8% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.9% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.7% · Draw 26.3% · Away win 18.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1